With two Democrats who had voted for strict gun control laws
in Colorado losing the recall vote, there is a valuable lesson for Democrats to
learn and it has nothing to do with gun control. It has to do with money.
One of the favorite tactics of Democratic and progressive political groups
to try and raise money is to use scare tactics with their supporters for one
reason: to get them to contribute. They do this because they still haven't
learned that its the message, argument, and how it's presented that sells, not
money that sells the message.
Despite the excuses Democrats and their strategists make, money is never
the deciding factor in an election. Yes you need some money -- enough to get
your message across. But having created political ads and commercials on a very
limited budget following the 2008 Democratic presidential
primaries that received world wide attention, especially by the news media, and having had a successful career creating consumer advertising, I can cite many examples proving that it
doesn't take as much money as Democrats like to pretend. It takes imagination,
having the facts on your side ( which Democrats have most of the time and dont
know how to use) and the message and how to get it across.
Democratic strategists and the party as a whole try to blame everything on
money despite the fact that time after time, reality proves its not so. Democratic campaign committees and political groups are forever sending out emails trying to raise money by talking about how much money Republicans have and raising the specter of dire doomsday results if they can't match the Republicans dollar for dollar.
The favorite bogeyman for Daily Kos, ThinkProgress the PCCC, the Democratic
Congressional Campaign Committee, MoveOn and lots of others are the Koch
Brothers. Every other fund raising email brings up the Koch Brothers and how much money they have and how they want to destroy life as we know it with their money.
The problem is, that the Koch Brothers spent over $200 million in the last
presidential election and,according to researchers that look into such things,
received zero in return for their money. Nothing. Nada. The same was true for the NRA whose
return in terms of candidates supported against Democratic incumbents who opposed them had a
return of less than 1% on their $7 million investment. On the other side of the ledger, in terms of money spent on
candidates who supported them and their work, Planned Parenthood had a 98% successful return on
their investment.
The scare tactics used by Democratic groups to raise money for the two Democrats facing the recall in Colorado raised over $3 million. Democratic groups like Daily Kos, Think Progress and MoveOn made it sound like money would make the difference. It never does. The real problem was their strategists didn't do a very good job with all the money raised.
This is not the candidates fault. They are legislators who took a principled
position. This is the fault of so called Democratic political strategists who,
as they have for decades, didn't know how to put together a powerful and
winning message.
Democrats, who always point out the amount of money spent by the NRA around the country in support of their candidates and against those who don't vote their way, this time far
outspent the NRA in the Colorado recall election by a staggering margin of almost 10-1. Yet the Democrats who voted for the new strict gun control
laws which passed the Colorado legislature, were defeated in the recall by two
Republicans.
It wasn't money that mattered. Democrats raised and spent more than $3 million while the NRA spent a little over $300,00. And it certainly wasn't
policy, since the stricter gun control laws that passed in Colorado were common
sense laws opposed by people who were "outraged" that they couldn't buy
ammunition clips that held more than 15 bullets. If you can;t create ads or
commercials that mount a powerful argument against that it's no wonder
they lost. And again this is not in any way to blame the candidates. Its to
blame their strategists.
If there is one thing Democrats have been sorely lacking for decades, its
competent, exciting, innovative creative and powerful political strategists who
know how to formulate a message and capitalize on facts that favor Democrats,
defend a position, sell an idea and put the opposition on the defensive and win
elections on the merits. Does anyone remember the preposterous TV commercial in the 1988 presidential campaign that showed Michael Dukakis wearing a helmet and riding around in a tank to try and show he supported the military too? That was supposed to compete with George HW Bush who was a WWII pilot and bona fide war hero? And let's not even talk about John Kerry and his campaign against George W. Bush in 2004 who had the worst four years of any president in history, yet Kerry let the Swift Boaters run all over him, still had everything on his side and lost anyway.
Democrats should not delude themselves or pat themselves on the back for winning the 2012 presidential election by thinking they had out strategized anyone. Romney lost the election more
than Obama won it thanks to Romney's terrible policy ideas, 47% comment and catering to a lunatic extremist right wing along with Republican positions on many issues that were so
repugnant to a majority of people that even though polls showed 54% didn't think
Obama deserved to be re-elected, they voted for him anyway over the Republican
alternative.
In Colorado Democratic strategists failed despite far outspending the
opposition because they did not know how to be persuasive and to motivate those
who supported their position to go out and vote. Those who supported the
recall turned out in greater numbers because they were more motivated.
That is the lesson to be learned in Colorado. It was a failure to make a case and
make it stick in a memorable and compelling and common sense way that motivated people, not, as the NY Times
inaccurately and simplistically tried to argue, the political vulnerability of those
supporting common sense gun laws.
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